You can buy it’s cheap and sell when it is expensive. It can be quite hard work from day to day. If you catch a real currency pair (the one with a positive interest rate differential) at the right time, then you can be sure that you collect money from the market. You can add significant to your account, together with your trading strategy. The strategy of buying currencies with higher interest against the currencies with lower interest rates for a longer period, with the intention of closing the trade at some point in the future and take profit. Did you know that there is a system of trading that you can make a profit even if the price stays the same long period of time? The truth is, there is, he is one of the most popular ways to earn money many of the largest money manager in the financial universe. Carry trade involves borrowing or sale of financial instruments with a low interest rate, which we use to buy financial instruments with a higher interest rate.
You’re probably thinking: “That does not sound exciting or profitable as hunting ” swings’. Since you are a professional trader, you already know that the first question to ask yourself before you start to trade. What is my risk? That’s right! Before entering the stock must always examine your maximum risk and whether or not it is acceptable in accordance with your risk management rules. In the previous example, it was maximum risk was $ 9000. His position would be automatically closed when the losses reached $ 9,000.
Well? Does not sound very good, does not it?
When doing a carry trade, you can still limit the loss as with ” normal ” trading. He will continue to receive interest while holding the position. It’s pretty easy to find a suitable pair for carry trade. Look for two things: Find a high interest. Among currency pairs JPY- crosses (USD / JPY, EUR / JPY, GBP / JPY, AUD / JPY, ) Most Pretty simple? Here’s an example one carry trade: Since the Federal Reserve held one of the higher interest rates among the major currencies (currently at 0.25% at time of writing), many traders hooked on this currency pair (one of the factors creating a nice little uptrend). From September 2012 to April 2015 this pair is increased with rates from. If you add together with interest from the interest rate differential of two currencies, this pair is a nice long-term business for many investors and traders independent of volatile movements of the currency market. Interest rates and interest rate differentials between the currency change, which puts the popular Carry trading (such as the yen carry trade) out of favor with investors. When we talk about the concept of Carry Trade, It is a very wide range of investment strategies that can be applied in international financial markets. What is it, specifically, to carry trades. To borrow the money in the currency precisely, at a low interest rate; then reinvest at a rate of interest that is greater, will earn.
There are some special requirements, so you carry trade can make a profit. To do this, you must have currencies that are taken into account to do this, submit a report stable over time and return the same. All this to avoid that they are no foreign exchange differences, which should be to influence then what is the gain offered work. As we saw earlier, we need to understand how to invest, and that is why you always prefer to opt for instruments with low risk. All this can easily be applied to the top Forex market crisis, where it was difficult to go to find what could be the currency with low interest rates compared to those with a higher interest rate. Yen, had a rate that was very close to 0%; Unlike other countries that instead of presenting rates ranging from 4% to 8%. The stability of exchange rate between the US dollar and the Japanese yen, very favorable than carry trade; as we have seen are mostly based on debt in yen, with the conversion of foreign currency, and then to invest that capital in government securities or other financial instruments that do not pose a threat, but the return of 3%. After the license has expired, the money is instantly converted to yen, and then the money was used to pay off debt incurred by Japan. Wearing a store can have three different events. Let’s see what happens especially in these three examples.
The change in this scenario
From what we have seen, this scenario becomes very profitable, and thus attractive to big players in the market; so that they can go to invest large sums of money. Back in the discourse of financial crisis, which erupted in late 2008, operators were forced to hastily shut down all its operations, go now to buy Yen, And then there was a sharp fall in the coming months. At this point, however, banks are slowly starting again raise interest rates; and it is expected that at some point, you will be able to rethink carry trade and investment opportunities.
Central Banks Interest Rates
|EUR||European Central Bank||0.05%|
|GBP||Bank of England||0.50%|
|CAD||Bank of Canada||0.75%|
|JPY||Bank of Japan||0.10%|
|AUD||The Reserve Bank of Australia||2.25%|
|NZD||Reserve Bank of New Zealand||3.50%|
|CHF||Swiss National Bank||-0.75%|
The chart USD / JPY (4H) in the period of the last month have seen a clear distinctive growth rates (up permanent trend in the period 2012 to 2015). Namely, with minor deviations of the price level reached the level of from 77.55-121.55 with the proviso that it is oscillated about twice. The number of pips record figure as usual range for this currency pair. In addition, as a common occurrence on this currency pair is allocated segment, has an all-day price down trend) which registered a sharp drop in the price, followed by crafts and tendentious up trend. Thus, the implications of a wide view of the Japanese economy is very deep, because long-term interest rates, which amount to 0.5 percent of contributions to the difference between Japanese rates and other states may still result in large capital outflow in the form of so-called. “Carry trade”. A different scenario could in turn lead to a repetition of history when in 2007 there was a crisis when even gold sold. It is known that at that time a sudden increase in interest rates yen failure of rural increased sales of the US dollar. The sudden news that are positive for the yen may mean simply that it should be prepared for trade by strengthening.
Traded USD / JPY which is explained by the great interest of investors for the two leading economies of the world. What is the most important feature of this currency pair prices are moving in one direction (increasing or declining trend) on a monthly basis, after which the intervention is evident in the open foreign exchange market by the Japanese low interest rates which is closely related to the constant liquidity of the currency in global financial markets. The higher the rate of interest for a particular currency relative to other currencies (a large percentage differential), the higher will be a number between foreign investors, those who want to buy this currency to put funds in deposit with high interest rates. Since interest rates are usually very closely interconnected, high rates in the banking market indicate high rates of government bonds, as well as high profitability for riskier bonds of Joint Stock Companies. Basically, high interest rates make the currency more attractive. The demand for it in the international currency market increases. The market lives in expectation of important events and preparing for them, and not just to react to events that have already occurred. Traders will raise its rate in anticipation of the future of its growth. And the market can be a long time that it is in optimistic mood toward that currency, thanks to which can rapidly to form an upward trend. When raising rates actually happens, the currency will be already and since the factor of pressure from above but was eliminated after raising rates, the first reaction to their actual increase may be a decline in the exchange rate, that is completely opposite reaction. And it is especially likely for the reason that such a return to down a good opportunity to open new long positions for the currency.